Uncertainty : a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis / M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion ; with a chapter by Mitchell Small.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Morgan, M. Granger (Millett Granger), 1941-

Contributor:

Henrion, Max.

Small, Mitchell J.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Uncertainty--Mathematical models.

Uncertainty.

Risk--Mathematical models.

Risk.

Policy sciences--Mathematical models.

Policy sciences.

Physical Description:

xii, 332 pages : illustrations ; 24 m

Place of Publication:

Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 1990.

Summary:

The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty. Powerful computer environments and good graphical techniques for displaying uncertainty are just two of the more advanced topics addressed in later chapters.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN:

0521365422

OCLC:

20319409